Ottawa Senators at Vegas Golden Knights
All Ottawa Senators predictions · All Vegas Golden Knights predictions
NHL · Tuesday, October 27, 2026 · 10:10 PM · Final: 1-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Ottawa Senators | Vegas Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +135 | -160 |
| BetRivers | +143 | -175 |
| DraftKings | +142 | -170 |
| ESPN BET | +135 | -155 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 |
| FanDuel | +140 | -170 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -170 |
| Novig | +153 | -156 |
| Caesars | +136 | -162 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Senators | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -185 | −1.5 +154 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +143 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +150 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +160 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +145 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -176 | −1.5 +142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -185 | −1.5 +140 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -113 | 6.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -108 | 6.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -109 | 6.5 -113 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Ottawa Senators | Vegas Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 39.8% | 60.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 39.5% | 60.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.