Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals
All Philadelphia Flyers predictions · All Washington Capitals predictions
NHL · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 7:38 PM · Final: 2-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Philadelphia Flyers | Washington Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +195 | -235 |
| BetRivers | +200 | -245 |
| DraftKings | +200 | -245 |
| ESPN BET | +190 | -225 |
| Fanatics | +200 | -245 |
| FanDuel | +198 | -245 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +180 | -250 |
| Novig | +217 | -228 |
| Caesars | +195 | -240 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Flyers | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -130 | −1.5 +110 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -132 | −1.5 +106 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -125 | −1.5 +105 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -135 | −1.5 +115 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -125 | −1.5 +105 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -128 | −1.5 +104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6 +100 | 6 -120 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 +112 | 6.5 -141 |
| DraftKings | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 +105 |
| ESPN BET | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 +105 |
| FanDuel | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 6 +101 | 6 -124 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Philadelphia Flyers | Washington Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 32.1% | 67.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 31.5% | 69.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 30.5% | 69.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.