Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks
All Houston Rockets predictions · All Milwaukee Bucks predictions
NBA · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 132-100
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -350 | +275 |
| BetRivers | -305 | +240 |
| DraftKings | -340 | +270 |
| ESPN BET | -340 | +270 |
| Fanatics | -350 | +275 |
| FanDuel | -340 | +275 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -350 | +275 |
| Novig | -308 | +300 |
| Caesars | -320 | +250 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rockets | Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | −8.5 -109 | +8.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −8.5 -110 | +8.5 -110 |
| Caesars | −8 -115 | +8 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 226.5 -110 | 226.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 227.5 -114 | 227.5 -107 |
| DraftKings | 226.5 -110 | 226.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 227.5 -105 | 227.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 227 -110 | 227 -110 |
| FanDuel | 226.5 -115 | 226.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 226.5 -115 | 226.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 227.5 -105 | 227.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 74.3% | 25.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 75.3% | 25.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 75.5% | 24.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.