Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans
All Denver Nuggets predictions · All New Orleans Pelicans predictions
NBA · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 104-91
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -185 | +150 |
| BetRivers | -190 | +155 |
| DraftKings | -180 | +150 |
| ESPN BET | -175 | +150 |
| Fanatics | -175 | +145 |
| FanDuel | -174 | +146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -185 | +155 |
| Novig | -156 | +150 |
| Caesars | -180 | +152 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Nuggets | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −4.5 -105 | +4.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | −4.5 -112 | +4.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | −4.5 -105 | +4.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | −3.5 -115 | +3.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | −4.5 -105 | +4.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | −4.5 -106 | +4.5 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 |
| Caesars | −4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 240.5 -115 | 240.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 240.5 -112 | 240.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 241.5 -105 | 241.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 241.5 -105 | 241.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 241 -110 | 241 -110 |
| FanDuel | 240.5 -110 | 240.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 240.5 -115 | 240.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 241 -115 | 241 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 60.9% | 39.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.