Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks
All Oklahoma City Thunder predictions · All Dallas Mavericks predictions
NBA · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 9:48 PM · Final: 96-120
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -190 | +155 |
| BetRivers | -175 | +143 |
| DraftKings | -192 | +160 |
| ESPN BET | -195 | +165 |
| Fanatics | -190 | +155 |
| FanDuel | -190 | +158 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -195 | +165 |
| Novig | -174 | +167 |
| Caesars | -180 | +152 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Thunder | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −5.5 -105 | +5.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | −4.5 -107 | +4.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | −5.5 -105 | +5.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | −5.5 -105 | +5.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | −5 -110 | +5 -110 |
| FanDuel | −5.5 -105 | +5.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −4.5 -115 | +4.5 +100 |
| Caesars | −5 -110 | +5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 228.5 -105 | 228.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 228.5 -107 | 228.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | 228.5 -105 | 228.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 228.5 -105 | 228.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 227.5 -120 | 227.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 227.5 -115 | 227.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 227 -105 | 227 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 62.8% | 37.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 63.5% | 37.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.