Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans
All Sacramento Kings predictions · All New Orleans Pelicans predictions
NBA · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 120-132
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Sacramento Kings | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +195 | -235 |
| BetRivers | +200 | -250 |
| DraftKings | +195 | -238 |
| ESPN BET | +195 | -230 |
| Fanatics | +190 | -235 |
| FanDuel | +198 | -240 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +200 | -240 |
| Novig | +208 | -212 |
| Caesars | +205 | -250 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Kings | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +6.5 -113 | −6.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | +6.5 -112 | −6.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 234.5 -110 | 234.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 235.5 -109 | 235.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 234.5 -112 | 234.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 234.5 -110 | 234.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 235 -110 | 235 -110 |
| FanDuel | 234.5 -110 | 234.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 234.5 -110 | 234.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 235.5 -110 | 235.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Sacramento Kings | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 32.5% | 67.9% |
| Kalshi contract price | 31.5% | 68.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.