Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers

All Winnipeg Jets predictions · All Florida Panthers predictions

NHL · Friday, October 30, 2026 · 7:10 PM

The model's call
Florida Panthers to win
Model confidence 66.5%
Books consensus 66.5%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Winnipeg JetsFlorida Panthers
BetMGM +185 -225
BetRivers +200 -245
DraftKings +185 -225
ESPN BET +190 -225
Fanatics +185 -225
FanDuel +190 -235
Hard Rock Bet +175 -225
Novig +203 -208
Caesars +187 -225

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Panthers −1.5
priced 46.2% to cover · 7 books
Total
O/U 6.5
priced 45.7% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened 5.5
Spread by book JetsPanthers
BetMGM +1.5 -130 −1.5 +105
BetRivers +1.5 -130 −1.5 +105
DraftKings +1.5 -135 −1.5 +114
ESPN BET +1.5 -130 −1.5 +110
Fanatics +1.5 -135 −1.5 +110
FanDuel +1.5 -130 −1.5 +106
Hard Rock Bet +1.5 -130 −1.5 +105
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -120 6 +100
BetRivers 6.5 +108 6.5 -134
DraftKings 6.5 +114 6.5 -135
ESPN BET 6.5 +110 6.5 -130
Fanatics 6.5 +115 6.5 -135
FanDuel 6.5 +104 6.5 -128
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 +105 6.5 -130
Caesars 6 -118 6 -104

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Winnipeg JetsFlorida Panthers
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 33.5% 66.5%
Best book price incl. vig 33.0% 67.5%
Kalshi contract price 33.2% 66.8%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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