Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins

All Chicago Blackhawks predictions · All Boston Bruins predictions

NHL · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 1:10 PM

The model's call
Boston Bruins to win
Model confidence 66.0%
Books consensus 66.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Chicago BlackhawksBoston Bruins
BetMGM +180 -220
BetRivers +188 -230
DraftKings +185 -225
Fanatics +180 -220
FanDuel +180 -220
Novig +203 -212
Caesars +183 -218

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Bruins −1.5
priced 44.9% to cover · 5 books
Total
O/U 5.5
priced 55.1% over · 3 books, 3 on another number
Spread by book BlackhawksBruins
BetMGM +1.5 -135 −1.5 +110
BetRivers +1.5 -141 −1.5 +114
DraftKings +1.5 -135 −1.5 +114
Fanatics +1.5 -140 −1.5 +115
FanDuel +1.5 -130 −1.5 +106
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -110 6 -110
BetRivers 5.5 -136 5.5 +108
DraftKings 5.5 -135 5.5 +114
Fanatics 6.5 +115 6.5 -140
FanDuel 5.5 -138 5.5 +112
Caesars 6 -110 6 -112

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Chicago BlackhawksBoston Bruins
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 34.0% 66.0%
Best book price incl. vig 33.0% 67.9%
Kalshi contract price 33.2% 66.8%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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