Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

St Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings

All St Louis Blues predictions · All Detroit Red Wings predictions

NHL · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 1:10 PM

The model's call
St Louis Blues to win
Model confidence 51.1%
Books consensus 51.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book St Louis BluesDetroit Red Wings
BetMGM -115 -105
BetRivers -113 -106
DraftKings -118 -102
Fanatics -115 -105
FanDuel -118 -102
Novig -108 +106
Caesars -113 -105

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Blues −1.5
priced 30.7% to cover · 4 books, 1 on another number
opened Red Wings −1.5
Total
O/U 5.5
priced 53.8% over · 4 books, 2 on another number
Spread by book BluesRed Wings
BetMGM +1.5 -275 −1.5 +220
BetRivers −1.5 +225 +1.5 -295
DraftKings −1.5 +210 +1.5 -258
Fanatics −1.5 +210 +1.5 -270
FanDuel −1.5 +210 +1.5 -265
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 +100 6 -120
BetRivers 5.5 -134 5.5 +108
DraftKings 5.5 -130 5.5 +110
Fanatics 5.5 -125 5.5 +105
FanDuel 5.5 -122 5.5 +100
Caesars 6 +100 6 -122

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue St Louis BluesDetroit Red Wings
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 51.1% 48.9%
Best book price incl. vig 51.9% 48.5%
Kalshi contract price 51.5% 48.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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