Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings

All Buffalo Sabres predictions · All Los Angeles Kings predictions

NHL · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:10 PM

The model's call
Buffalo Sabres to win
Model confidence 53.0%
Books consensus 53.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Buffalo SabresLos Angeles Kings
BetMGM -125 +105
BetRivers -124 +104
DraftKings -122 +102
Fanatics -125 +105
FanDuel -126 +105
Novig -111 +106
Caesars -122 +104

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Sabres −1.5
priced 31.9% to cover · 5 books
Total
O/U 5.5
priced 55.1% over · 3 books, 3 on another number
Spread by book SabresKings
BetMGM −1.5 +185 +1.5 -225
BetRivers −1.5 +200 +1.5 -265
DraftKings −1.5 +200 +1.5 -245
Fanatics −1.5 +200 +1.5 -255
FanDuel −1.5 +198 +1.5 -250
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -118 6 -102
BetRivers 6.5 +112 6.5 -137
DraftKings 5.5 -135 5.5 +114
Fanatics 5.5 -135 5.5 +110
FanDuel 5.5 -140 5.5 +112
Caesars 6 -110 6 -112

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Buffalo SabresLos Angeles Kings
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 53.0% 47.0%
Best book price incl. vig 52.6% 48.5%
Kalshi contract price 52.7% 47.3%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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