Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz

All Portland Trail Blazers predictions · All Utah Jazz predictions

NBA · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 3:10 PM

The model's call
Portland Trail Blazers to win
Model confidence 66.6%
Books consensus 66.6%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Portland Trail BlazersUtah Jazz
BetMGM -235 +190
BetRivers -230 +185
DraftKings -225 +185
ESPN BET -225 +190
Fanatics -235 +190
FanDuel -220 +184
Novig -217 +208
Caesars -225 +185

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Trail Blazers −6.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 6 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 233.5
priced 49.5% over · 3 books, 4 on another number
Spread by book Trail BlazersJazz
BetMGM −6.5 -110 +6.5 -110
BetRivers −5.5 -118 +5.5 -104
DraftKings −6.5 -110 +6.5 -110
ESPN BET −6.5 -110 +6.5 -110
Fanatics −6.5 -110 +6.5 -110
FanDuel −6.5 -108 +6.5 -112
Caesars −6.5 -110 +6.5 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 233.5 -110 233.5 -110
BetRivers 233.5 -108 233.5 -113
DraftKings 232.5 -115 232.5 -105
ESPN BET 232.5 -115 232.5 -105
Fanatics 233 -110 233 -110
FanDuel 233.5 -105 233.5 -115
Caesars 233 -110 233 -110

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Portland Trail BlazersUtah Jazz
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 66.6% 33.4%
Best book price incl. vig 68.5% 32.5%
Kalshi contract price 67.5% 32.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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