Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets

All Philadelphia 76ers predictions · All Charlotte Hornets predictions

NBA · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 6:10 PM

The model's call
Philadelphia 76ers to win
Model confidence 51.4%
Books consensus 51.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Philadelphia 76ersCharlotte Hornets
BetMGM -115 -105
BetRivers -122 +100
DraftKings -120 +100
Fanatics -120 +100
FanDuel -112 -104
Novig -108 +104
Caesars -115 -105

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
76ers −1.5
priced 49.2% to cover · 5 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 217.5
priced 48.9% over · 3 books, 3 on another number
Spread by book 76ersHornets
BetMGM −1.5 -110 +1.5 -118
BetRivers −0.5 -122 +0.5 +100
DraftKings −1.5 -110 +1.5 -110
Fanatics −1.5 -110 +1.5 -110
FanDuel −1.5 -105 +1.5 -115
Caesars −1.5 -105 +1.5 -115
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 216.5 -115 216.5 -105
BetRivers 217.5 -107 217.5 -114
DraftKings 216.5 -115 216.5 -105
Fanatics 217 -110 217 -110
FanDuel 217.5 -105 217.5 -115
Caesars 217.5 -105 217.5 -115

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Philadelphia 76ersCharlotte Hornets
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 51.4% 48.6%
Best book price incl. vig 51.9% 49.0%
Kalshi contract price 51.3% 48.7%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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