Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks

All Ottawa Senators predictions · All Anaheim Ducks predictions

NHL · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 8:00 PM

The model's call
Anaheim Ducks to win
Model confidence 50.1%
Books consensus 50.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Ottawa SenatorsAnaheim Ducks
BetRivers -107 -112
DraftKings -108 -112
Fanatics -110 -110
FanDuel -110 -110
Caesars -108 -109

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Ducks −1.5
priced 30.2% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 6.5
priced 51.1% over · 5 books
Spread by book SenatorsDucks
BetRivers +1.5 -295 −1.5 +225
DraftKings +1.5 -245 −1.5 +200
Fanatics +1.5 -270 −1.5 +210
FanDuel +1.5 -280 −1.5 +220
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 6.5 -117 6.5 -107
DraftKings 6.5 -112 6.5 -108
Fanatics 6.5 -115 6.5 -105
FanDuel 6.5 -115 6.5 -105
Caesars 6.5 -114 6.5 -108

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Ottawa SenatorsAnaheim Ducks
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 49.9% 50.1%
Best book price incl. vig 51.7% 52.2%
Kalshi contract price 49.5% 50.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record