Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Toledo Rockets at Sacramento State Hornets

All Toledo Rockets predictions · All Sacramento State Hornets predictions

College Football · Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 7:00 PM

The model's call
Toledo Rockets to win
Model confidence 94.8%
Books consensus 94.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Toledo RocketsSacramento State Hornets
DraftKings -4500 +1700
Fanatics -4000 +1800
FanDuel -7000 +2000
Novig -2339 +1567

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Toledo −27.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 5 books
Total
O/U 51.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books, 2 on another number
Spread by book ToledoSacramento State
BetRivers −27.5 -109 +27.5 -114
DraftKings −27.5 -110 +27.5 -110
Fanatics −27.5 -115 +27.5 -105
FanDuel −27.5 -120 +27.5 -102
Hard Rock Bet −27.5 -110 +27.5 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 52.5 +102 52.5 -125
DraftKings 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
Fanatics 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
FanDuel 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 52.5 +100 52.5 -125
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