Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors

All Los Angeles Clippers predictions · All Golden State Warriors predictions

NBA · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 8:40 PM

The model's call
Golden State Warriors to win
Model confidence 54.7%
Books consensus 54.7%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Los Angeles ClippersGolden State Warriors
BetMGM +110 -135
BetRivers +112 -136
DraftKings +114 -135
ESPN BET +115 -135
Fanatics +115 -140
FanDuel +112 -132
Hard Rock Bet +110 -130
Novig +120 -122
Caesars +110 -130

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Warriors −2.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
Total
O/U 220.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books, 5 on another number
opened 219.5
Spread by book ClippersWarriors
BetMGM +2.5 -115 −2.5 -105
BetRivers +1.5 -103 −1.5 -121
DraftKings +2.5 -112 −2.5 -108
ESPN BET +2.5 -110 −2.5 -110
Fanatics +2 -110 −2 -110
FanDuel +1.5 -106 −1.5 -114
Hard Rock Bet +2.5 -115 −2.5 -105
Caesars +2.5 -115 −2.5 -105
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 220.5 -110 220.5 -110
BetRivers 218.5 -129 218.5 +106
DraftKings 221.5 -110 221.5 -110
ESPN BET 220.5 -110 220.5 -110
Fanatics 221 -110 221 -110
FanDuel 221.5 -108 221.5 -112
Hard Rock Bet 220.5 -110 220.5 -110
Caesars 221 -110 221 -110

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Los Angeles ClippersGolden State Warriors
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 45.3% 54.7%
Best book price incl. vig 45.5% 55.0%
Kalshi contract price 45.1% 54.9%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record