Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

South Florida Bulls at East Carolina Pirates

All South Florida Bulls predictions · All East Carolina Pirates predictions

College Football · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 7:30 PM

The model's call
East Carolina Pirates to win
Model confidence 50.0%
Books consensus 50.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book South Florida BullsEast Carolina Pirates
BetRivers -113 -109
DraftKings -112 -108
Fanatics -110 -110
Hard Rock Bet -110 -110
Novig -108 -108

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
South Florida −1.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 1 book, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 45.5
priced 49.7% over · 4 books
Spread by book South FloridaEast Carolina
BetRivers −0.5 -113 +0.5 -110
DraftKings −1.5 -105 +1.5 -115
Fanatics −1 -110 +1 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 45.5 -108 45.5 -114
DraftKings 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
Fanatics 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 45.5 -110 45.5 -115
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