Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

New Mexico Lobos at Nevada Wolf Pack

All New Mexico Lobos predictions · All Nevada Wolf Pack predictions

College Football · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 9:00 PM

The model's call
New Mexico Lobos to win
Model confidence 81.5%
Books consensus 81.5%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book New Mexico LobosNevada Wolf Pack
BetRivers -670 +440
DraftKings -455 +350
Fanatics -550 +410
FanDuel -580 +430
Hard Rock Bet -650 +450
Novig -567 -6567

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
New Mexico −12.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 5 books
Total
O/U 43.5
priced 49.5% over · 4 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book New MexicoNevada
BetRivers −12.5 -114 +12.5 -109
DraftKings −12.5 -110 +12.5 -110
Fanatics −12.5 -110 +12.5 -110
FanDuel −12.5 -110 +12.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −12.5 -110 +12.5 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 43.5 -106 43.5 -118
DraftKings 43.5 -110 43.5 -110
Fanatics 43.5 -110 43.5 -110
FanDuel 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 43.5 -105 43.5 -115
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record