Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Iowa State Cyclones at Baylor Bears

All Iowa State Cyclones predictions · All Baylor Bears predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
Baylor Bears to win
Model confidence 74.1%
Books consensus 74.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Iowa State CyclonesBaylor Bears
BetRivers +255 -335
DraftKings +270 -340
ESPN BET +270 -340
FanDuel +275 -345
Novig +270 -300

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Baylor −9.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 3 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 51.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book Iowa StateBaylor
BetRivers +8.5 -114 −8.5 -109
DraftKings +9.5 -112 −9.5 -108
ESPN BET +9.5 -110 −9.5 -110
FanDuel +9.5 -105 −9.5 -115
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 53.5 -106 53.5 -118
DraftKings 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
ESPN BET 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
FanDuel 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record