Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Cincinnati Bearcats at Houston Cougars

All Cincinnati Bearcats predictions · All Houston Cougars predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
Houston Cougars to win
Model confidence 77.1%
Books consensus 77.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Cincinnati BearcatsHouston Cougars
BetRivers +350 -500
DraftKings +320 -410
ESPN BET +320 -425
FanDuel +310 -400
Novig +317 -426

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Houston −10.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 62.5
priced 50.0% over · 2 books, 2 on another number
opened 60.5
Spread by book CincinnatiHouston
BetRivers +10.5 -114 −10.5 -109
DraftKings +10.5 -110 −10.5 -110
ESPN BET +10.5 -110 −10.5 -110
FanDuel +10.5 -110 −10.5 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 60.5 -114 60.5 -109
DraftKings 62.5 -110 62.5 -110
ESPN BET 62.5 -110 62.5 -110
FanDuel 61.5 -105 61.5 -115
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