Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Vanderbilt Commodores at Mississippi State Bulldogs

All Vanderbilt Commodores predictions · All Mississippi State Bulldogs predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 4:15 PM

The model's call
Mississippi State Bulldogs to win
Model confidence 57.2%
Books consensus 57.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Vanderbilt CommodoresMississippi State Bulldogs
BetRivers +125 -157
DraftKings +124 -148
ESPN BET +125 -145
Fanatics +125 -150
FanDuel +118 -140
Novig +117 -150

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Mississippi State −2.5
priced 52.3% to cover · 2 books, 3 on another number
opened Mississippi State −3.5
Total
O/U 48.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books, 2 on another number
Spread by book VanderbiltMississippi State
BetRivers +3 -108 −3 -115
DraftKings +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
ESPN BET +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
Fanatics +2.5 +100 −2.5 -120
FanDuel +2.5 +100 −2.5 -122
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 48.5 -108 48.5 -115
DraftKings 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
ESPN BET 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
Fanatics 48 -110 48 -110
FanDuel 47.5 -114 47.5 -106
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