Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

All Colorado Avalanche predictions · All Chicago Blackhawks predictions

NHL · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 8:10 PM

The model's call
Colorado Avalanche to win
Model confidence 67.3%
Books consensus 67.3%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Colorado AvalancheChicago Blackhawks
BetRivers -265 +215
DraftKings -230 +190
ESPN BET -230 +195
Fanatics -235 +190
FanDuel -255 +205
Novig -223 +208
Caesars -235 +192

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Avalanche −1.5
priced 46.8% to cover · 6 books
Total
O/U 6.5
priced 47.3% over · 5 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book AvalancheBlackhawks
BetRivers −1.5 -108 +1.5 -115
DraftKings −1.5 +105 +1.5 -125
ESPN BET −1.5 +105 +1.5 -125
Fanatics −1.5 +105 +1.5 -125
FanDuel −1.5 -102 +1.5 -122
Caesars −1.5 +106 +1.5 -124
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 6.5 -106 6.5 -118
DraftKings 5.5 -135 5.5 +114
ESPN BET 6.5 +110 6.5 -130
Fanatics 6.5 +105 6.5 -125
FanDuel 6.5 -102 6.5 -120
Caesars 6.5 +101 6.5 -124

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Colorado AvalancheChicago Blackhawks
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 67.3% 32.7%
Best book price incl. vig 69.0% 31.7%
Kalshi contract price 68.5% 31.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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