Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

All Calgary Flames predictions · All San Jose Sharks predictions

NHL · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 9:10 PM

The model's call
San Jose Sharks to win
Model confidence 55.4%
Books consensus 55.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Calgary FlamesSan Jose Sharks
BetRivers +117 -139
DraftKings +114 -135
ESPN BET +115 -135
Fanatics +115 -140
FanDuel +116 -140
Novig +120 -130
Caesars +115 -136

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Sharks −1.5
priced 35.2% to cover · 6 books
Total
O/U 6.5
priced 47.8% over · 6 books
Spread by book FlamesSharks
BetRivers +1.5 -225 −1.5 +175
DraftKings +1.5 -205 −1.5 +170
ESPN BET +1.5 -215 −1.5 +170
Fanatics +1.5 -215 −1.5 +170
FanDuel +1.5 -220 −1.5 +172
Caesars +1.5 -205 −1.5 +171
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 6.5 -115 6.5 -108
DraftKings 6.5 +105 6.5 -125
ESPN BET 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
Fanatics 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
FanDuel 6.5 -112 6.5 -108
Caesars 6.5 +100 6.5 -122

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Calgary FlamesSan Jose Sharks
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 44.6% 55.4%
Best book price incl. vig 45.5% 56.5%
Kalshi contract price 45.0% 55.0%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record