Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Georgia State Panthers at Appalachian State Mountaineers

All Georgia State Panthers predictions · All Appalachian State Mountaineers predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM

The model's call
Appalachian State Mountaineers to win
Model confidence 60.2%
Books consensus 60.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Georgia State PanthersAppalachian State Mountaineers
BetMGM +145 -175
DraftKings +136 -162
ESPN BET +140 -165
Fanatics +140 -170
FanDuel +146 -176
Novig +150 -170
Caesars +139 -164

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Appalachian State −3.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 5 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 56.5
priced 49.8% over · 3 books, 3 on another number
Spread by book Georgia StateAppalachian State
BetMGM +3.5 -108 −3.5 -112
DraftKings +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
ESPN BET +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
Fanatics +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
FanDuel +4.5 -115 −4.5 -105
Caesars +3.5 -112 −3.5 -112
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 56.5 -108 56.5 -110
DraftKings 57.5 -110 57.5 -110
ESPN BET 57.5 -110 57.5 -110
Fanatics 56 -110 56 -110
FanDuel 56.5 -108 56.5 -112
Caesars 56.5 -112 56.5 -112
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