UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves
All UL Monroe Warhawks predictions · All Arkansas State Red Wolves predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM
The model's call
Arkansas State Red Wolves to win
Model confidence 84.0%
Books consensus 84.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | UL Monroe Warhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +500 | -650 |
| DraftKings | +490 | -675 |
| ESPN BET | +500 | -800 |
| Fanatics | +500 | -700 |
| FanDuel | +500 | -690 |
| Novig | +344 | -809 |
| Caesars | +500 | -750 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Arkansas State −14.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 6 books
Total
O/U 52.5
priced 49.5% over · 4 books, 2 on another number
| Spread by book | UL Monroe | Arkansas State |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +14.5 -110 | −14.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +14.5 -110 | −14.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +14.5 -110 | −14.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +14.5 -110 | −14.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +14.5 -105 | −14.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +14.5 -110 | −14.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 52.5 -105 | 52.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 52.5 -105 | 52.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 |
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