Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Rice Owls at North Texas Mean Green

All Rice Owls predictions · All North Texas Mean Green predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 4:00 PM

The model's call
North Texas Mean Green to win
Model confidence 86.1%
Books consensus 86.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Rice OwlsNorth Texas Mean Green
BetMGM +600 -800
DraftKings +625 -950
ESPN BET +700 -1200
Fanatics +575 -850
FanDuel +570 -800
Novig +525 -1150
Caesars +625 -950

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
North Texas −16.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 6 books
Total
O/U 65.5
priced 50.0% over · 2 books, 4 on another number
opened 64.5
Spread by book RiceNorth Texas
BetMGM +16.5 -108 −16.5 -110
DraftKings +16.5 -110 −16.5 -110
ESPN BET +16.5 -110 −16.5 -110
Fanatics +16.5 -110 −16.5 -110
FanDuel +16.5 -110 −16.5 -110
Caesars +16.5 -110 −16.5 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 64.5 -110 64.5 -108
DraftKings 65.5 -110 65.5 -110
ESPN BET 65.5 -110 65.5 -110
Fanatics 65 -105 65 -115
FanDuel 64.5 -110 64.5 -110
Caesars 63.5 -109 63.5 -110
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