Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

All South Alabama Jaguars predictions · All Louisiana Ragin Cajuns predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM

The model's call
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns to win
Model confidence 73.0%
Books consensus 73.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book South Alabama JaguarsLouisiana Ragin Cajuns
BetMGM +250 -300
DraftKings +260 -325
ESPN BET +270 -340
Fanatics +260 -330
FanDuel +240 -300
Novig -6150 -355
Caesars +255 -320

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Louisiana −9
priced 50.0% to cover · 2 books, 4 on another number
Total
O/U 57.5
priced 50.0% over · 5 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book South AlabamaLouisiana
BetMGM +8.5 -110 −8.5 -108
DraftKings +9.5 -110 −9.5 -110
ESPN BET +10.5 -115 −10.5 -105
Fanatics +9 -110 −9 -110
FanDuel +7.5 -110 −7.5 -110
Caesars +9 -110 −9 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 57.5 -108 57.5 -110
DraftKings 57.5 -110 57.5 -110
ESPN BET 57.5 -110 57.5 -110
Fanatics 57 -110 57 -110
FanDuel 57.5 -110 57.5 -110
Caesars 57.5 -110 57.5 -109
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record