Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Boise State Broncos at Colorado State Rams

All Boise State Broncos predictions · All Colorado State Rams predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 6:00 PM

The model's call
Boise State Broncos to win
Model confidence 88.0%
Books consensus 88.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Boise State BroncosColorado State Rams
BetMGM -1000 +700
DraftKings -1200 +750
ESPN BET -1400 +750
Fanatics -1100 +700
FanDuel -900 +610
Novig -1233 +669
Caesars -1250 +750

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Boise State −18.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 3 books, 3 on another number
Total
O/U 68.5
priced 50.0% over · 6 books
Spread by book Boise StateColorado State
BetMGM −18 -108 +18 -110
DraftKings −18.5 -110 +18.5 -110
ESPN BET −18.5 -110 +18.5 -110
Fanatics −18 -110 +18 -110
FanDuel −17.5 -108 +17.5 -112
Caesars −18.5 -110 +18.5 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 68.5 -108 68.5 -110
DraftKings 68.5 -110 68.5 -110
ESPN BET 68.5 -110 68.5 -110
Fanatics 68.5 -110 68.5 -110
FanDuel 68.5 -110 68.5 -110
Caesars 68.5 -110 68.5 -110
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