Liberty Flames at New Mexico State Aggies
All Liberty Flames predictions · All New Mexico State Aggies predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:00 PM
The model's call
Liberty Flames to win
Model confidence 84.8%
Books consensus 84.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Liberty Flames | New Mexico State Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -800 | +600 |
| DraftKings | -750 | +525 |
| ESPN BET | -800 | +500 |
| Fanatics | -900 | +600 |
| FanDuel | -900 | +610 |
| Novig | -1076 | +488 |
| Caesars | -800 | +525 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Liberty −16.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books, 2 on another number
opened Liberty −13.5
Total
O/U 47.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books, 3 on another number
| Spread by book | Liberty | New Mexico State |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −16.5 -110 | +16.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | −16.5 -110 | +16.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | −16.5 -110 | +16.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −17 -110 | +17 -110 |
| FanDuel | −16.5 -110 | +16.5 -110 |
| Caesars | −17 -109 | +17 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 47.5 -105 | 47.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 47 -110 | 47 -110 |
| FanDuel | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 47 -110 | 47 -110 |
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