Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers

All Texas State Bobcats predictions · All Oregon State Beavers predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 10:30 PM

The model's call
Oregon State Beavers to win
Model confidence 70.1%
Books consensus 70.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Texas State BobcatsOregon State Beavers
BetMGM +210 -275
DraftKings +225 -278
ESPN BET +230 -280
Fanatics +225 -280
FanDuel +202 -250
Novig +190 -317
Caesars +220 -275

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Oregon State −7.5
priced 48.0% to cover · 4 books, 2 on another number
opened Oregon State −8.5
Total
O/U 68.5
priced 50.0% over · 6 books
Spread by book Texas StateOregon State
BetMGM +7 -108 −7 -110
DraftKings +7.5 -118 −7.5 -102
ESPN BET +7.5 -115 −7.5 -105
Fanatics +7 -105 −7 -115
FanDuel +7.5 -138 −7.5 +112
Caesars +7.5 -120 −7.5 +100
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 68.5 -108 68.5 -110
DraftKings 68.5 -105 68.5 -115
ESPN BET 68.5 -110 68.5 -110
Fanatics 68.5 -110 68.5 -110
FanDuel 68.5 -110 68.5 -110
Caesars 68.5 -110 68.5 -110
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