Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Hornets

All Detroit Pistons predictions · All Charlotte Hornets predictions

NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 7:40 PM

The model's call
Detroit Pistons to win
Model confidence 60.7%
Books consensus 60.7%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Detroit PistonsCharlotte Hornets
BetRivers -175 +140
DraftKings -175 +145
ESPN BET -170 +145
FanDuel -158 +134
Hard Rock Bet -170 +145
Novig -160 +156
Caesars -165 +140

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Pistons −3.5
priced 50.8% to cover · 3 books, 3 on another number
opened Pistons −4.5
Total
O/U 209.5
priced 50.0% over · 4 books, 2 on another number
Spread by book PistonsHornets
BetRivers −3.5 -114 +3.5 -107
DraftKings −4.5 -105 +4.5 -115
ESPN BET −4.5 -105 +4.5 -115
FanDuel −3.5 -105 +3.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet −3.5 -115 +3.5 -105
Caesars −4 -110 +4 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 209.5 -112 209.5 -109
DraftKings 209.5 -110 209.5 -110
ESPN BET 209.5 -110 209.5 -110
FanDuel 210.5 -110 210.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 209.5 -110 209.5 -110
Caesars 209 -110 209 -110

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Detroit PistonsCharlotte Hornets
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 60.7% 39.3%
Best book price incl. vig 61.2% 39.1%
Kalshi contract price 62.5% 37.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record