Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers

All Chicago Bulls predictions · All Philadelphia 76ers predictions

NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 7:40 PM

The model's call
Philadelphia 76ers to win
Model confidence 82.4%
Books consensus 82.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Chicago BullsPhiladelphia 76ers
BetRivers +375 -530
DraftKings +470 -650
ESPN BET +475 -750
FanDuel +430 -590
Hard Rock Bet +450 -575
Novig +488 -506
Caesars +430 -600

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
76ers −11.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 238.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books, 3 on another number
opened 237.5
Spread by book Bulls76ers
BetRivers +10.5 -104 −10.5 -118
DraftKings +11.5 -110 −11.5 -110
ESPN BET +11.5 -110 −11.5 -110
FanDuel +11.5 -110 −11.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +11.5 -110 −11.5 -110
Caesars +12 -110 −12 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 238.5 -106 238.5 -115
DraftKings 238.5 -110 238.5 -110
ESPN BET 238.5 -110 238.5 -110
FanDuel 237.5 -110 237.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 237.5 -115 237.5 +100
Caesars 237.5 -110 237.5 -110

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Chicago BullsPhiladelphia 76ers
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 17.6% 82.4%
Best book price incl. vig 17.0% 83.5%
Kalshi contract price 17.5% 82.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record