Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

St Louis Blues at New York Rangers

All St Louis Blues predictions · All New York Rangers predictions

NHL · Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 7:10 PM

The model's call
New York Rangers to win
Model confidence 53.2%
Books consensus 53.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book St Louis BluesNew York Rangers
BetMGM +105 -125
BetRivers +105 -125
DraftKings +105 -125
Fanatics +105 -125
FanDuel +104 -125
Novig +102 -111
Caesars +110 -129

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Rangers −1.5
priced 32.7% to cover · 6 books
Total
O/U 5.5
priced 54.8% over · 3 books, 3 on another number
Spread by book BluesRangers
BetMGM +1.5 -225 −1.5 +185
BetRivers +1.5 -250 −1.5 +200
DraftKings +1.5 -238 −1.5 +195
Fanatics +1.5 -240 −1.5 +190
FanDuel +1.5 -235 −1.5 +190
Caesars +1.5 -235 −1.5 +194
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -110 6 -110
BetRivers 5.5 -137 5.5 +110
DraftKings 5.5 -130 5.5 +110
Fanatics 6.5 +115 6.5 -140
FanDuel 5.5 -138 5.5 +112
Caesars 6 -109 6 -113

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue St Louis BluesNew York Rangers
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 46.8% 53.2%
Best book price incl. vig 47.6% 52.6%
Kalshi contract price 49.0% 51.0%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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