Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder
All Cleveland Cavaliers predictions · All Oklahoma City Thunder predictions
NBA · Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 8:10 PM
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Cleveland Cavaliers | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +120 | -145 |
| BetRivers | +120 | -148 |
| DraftKings | +117 | -138 |
| ESPN BET | +115 | -135 |
| FanDuel | +122 | -144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +120 | -145 |
| Caesars | +122 | -145 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Cavaliers | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | +2.5 -107 | −2.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | +2.5 -108 | −2.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +2.5 -110 | −2.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 228.5 -110 | 228.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 228.5 -108 | 228.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 228.5 -110 | 228.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 228.5 -110 | 228.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 228.5 -110 | 228.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 228.5 -110 | 228.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 228.5 -110 | 228.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Cleveland Cavaliers | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 45.0% | 57.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.