Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers

All Chicago Blackhawks predictions · All Florida Panthers predictions

NHL · Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 7:40 PM

The model's call
Florida Panthers to win
Model confidence 68.5%
Books consensus 68.5%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Chicago BlackhawksFlorida Panthers
BetMGM +200 -250
BetRivers +205 -250
DraftKings +205 -250
ESPN BET +200 -240
Fanatics +210 -260
FanDuel +210 -260
Hard Rock Bet +190 -250
Novig +223 -233
Caesars +205 -250

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Panthers −1.5
priced 47.3% to cover · 8 books
Total
O/U 5.5
priced 55.4% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
Spread by book BlackhawksPanthers
BetMGM +1.5 -118 −1.5 -102
BetRivers +1.5 -134 −1.5 +108
DraftKings +1.5 -125 −1.5 +105
ESPN BET +1.5 -125 −1.5 +105
Fanatics +1.5 -125 −1.5 +105
FanDuel +1.5 -114 −1.5 -106
Hard Rock Bet +1.5 -120 −1.5 +100
Caesars +1.5 -118 −1.5 +100
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -110 6 -110
BetRivers 5.5 -137 5.5 +110
DraftKings 5.5 -135 5.5 +114
ESPN BET 5.5 -135 5.5 +115
Fanatics 5.5 -140 5.5 +115
FanDuel 5.5 -140 5.5 +114
Hard Rock Bet 5.5 -145 5.5 +115
Caesars 6 -107 6 -115

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Chicago BlackhawksFlorida Panthers
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 31.5% 68.5%
Best book price incl. vig 31.0% 70.0%
Kalshi contract price 30.2% 69.8%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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