Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders

All Carolina Hurricanes predictions · All New York Islanders predictions

NHL · Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 7:10 PM

The model's call
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Model confidence 59.9%
Books consensus 59.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Carolina HurricanesNew York Islanders
DraftKings -166 +140
Fanatics -165 +135
Novig -178 +156
Caesars -164 +139

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Hurricanes −1.5
priced 39.7% to cover · 2 books
Total
O/U 5.5
priced 52.4% over · 3 books
Spread by book HurricanesIslanders
DraftKings −1.5 +142 +1.5 -170
Fanatics −1.5 +140 +1.5 -170
Total by bookOverUnder
DraftKings 5.5 -122 5.5 +102
Fanatics 5.5 -120 5.5 +100
Caesars 5.5 -122 5.5 +100

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Carolina HurricanesNew York Islanders
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 59.9% 40.1%
Best book price incl. vig 62.1% 39.1%
Kalshi contract price 62.5% 37.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record