Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets

All Vancouver Canucks predictions · All Winnipeg Jets predictions

NHL · Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 7:10 PM

The model's call
Winnipeg Jets to win
Model confidence 65.9%
Books consensus 65.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Vancouver CanucksWinnipeg Jets
DraftKings +180 -218
Fanatics +180 -220
Novig +182 -228
Caesars +183 -218

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Jets −1.5
priced 47.6% to cover · 2 books
Total
O/U 6.5
priced 47.3% over · 3 books
Spread by book CanucksJets
DraftKings +1.5 -122 −1.5 +102
Fanatics +1.5 -120 −1.5 +100
Total by bookOverUnder
DraftKings 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
Fanatics 6.5 +105 6.5 -125
Caesars 6.5 +101 6.5 -124

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Vancouver CanucksWinnipeg Jets
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 34.1% 65.9%
Best book price incl. vig 35.3% 68.6%
Kalshi contract price 33.7% 66.3%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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