Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers

All USC Trojans predictions · All Indiana Hoosiers predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:30 PM

The model's call
Indiana Hoosiers to win
Model confidence 76.0%
Books consensus 76.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book USC TrojansIndiana Hoosiers
BetMGM +300 -375
BetRivers +270 -360
DraftKings +300 -380
ESPN BET +300 -400
Fanatics +290 -375
FanDuel +310 -385
Hard Rock Bet +275 -350
Novig +317 -326
Caesars +290 -380

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Indiana −9.5
priced 50.5% to cover · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened Indiana −7.5
Total
O/U 50.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
opened 49.5
Spread by book USCIndiana
BetMGM +9.5 -105 −9.5 -112
BetRivers +9.5 -110 −9.5 -113
DraftKings +10 -115 −10 -105
ESPN BET +10.5 -115 −10.5 -105
Fanatics +10 -110 −10 -110
FanDuel +9.5 +100 −9.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet +9.5 -110 −9.5 -110
Caesars +10 -114 −10 -106
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 50.5 -110 50.5 -108
BetRivers 50.5 -114 50.5 -109
DraftKings 50.5 -108 50.5 -112
ESPN BET 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
Fanatics 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
FanDuel 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 50.5 -110 50.5 -105
Caesars 50.5 -109 50.5 -112
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