Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars

All Baylor Bears predictions · All BYU Cougars predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:30 PM

The model's call
BYU Cougars to win
Model confidence 71.2%
Books consensus 71.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Baylor BearsBYU Cougars
BetMGM +230 -285
BetRivers +230 -305
DraftKings +240 -298
ESPN BET +225 -275
Fanatics +240 -300
FanDuel +220 -275
Hard Rock Bet +230 -300
Novig +251 -257
Caesars +230 -290

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
BYU −7.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 8 books
Total
O/U 48.5
priced 50.4% over · 8 books
Spread by book BaylorBYU
BetMGM +7.5 -115 −7.5 -105
BetRivers +7.5 -114 −7.5 -109
DraftKings +7.5 -118 −7.5 -102
ESPN BET +7.5 -120 −7.5 +100
Fanatics +7.5 -115 −7.5 -105
FanDuel +7.5 -120 −7.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet +7.5 -110 −7.5 -110
Caesars +7.5 -115 −7.5 -106
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 48.5 -110 48.5 -108
BetRivers 48.5 -117 48.5 -107
DraftKings 48.5 -115 48.5 -105
ESPN BET 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
Fanatics 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
FanDuel 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 48.5 -115 48.5 -105
Caesars 48.5 -113 48.5 -107
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