Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Northwestern Wildcats at Ohio State Buckeyes

All Northwestern Wildcats predictions · All Ohio State Buckeyes predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
Ohio State Buckeyes to win
Model confidence 81.6%
Books consensus 81.6%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Northwestern WildcatsOhio State Buckeyes
BetMGM +425 -550
BetRivers +380 -560
DraftKings +410 -550
ESPN BET +425 -650
Fanatics +425 -575
FanDuel +450 -600
Hard Rock Bet +375 -550
Novig +471 -488
Caesars +400 -560

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Ohio State −13.5
priced 51.1% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Ohio State −10.5
Total
O/U 44.5
priced 48.9% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened 47.5
Spread by book NorthwesternOhio State
BetMGM +14 -110 −14 -110
BetRivers +13.5 -110 −13.5 -113
DraftKings +14 -110 −14 -110
ESPN BET +13.5 -105 −13.5 -115
Fanatics +13.5 -105 −13.5 -115
FanDuel +13.5 -105 −13.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet +13.5 -105 −13.5 -115
Caesars +14 -113 −14 -107
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 43.5 -118 43.5 -102
BetRivers 44.5 -107 44.5 -117
DraftKings 44.5 -105 44.5 -115
ESPN BET 43.5 -110 43.5 -110
Fanatics 44.5 -105 44.5 -115
FanDuel 43.5 -115 43.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet 44.5 -105 44.5 -115
Caesars 44 -110 44 -109
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