Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs

All Wake Forest Demon Deacons predictions · All SMU Mustangs predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
SMU Mustangs to win
Model confidence 50.7%
Books consensus 50.7%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Wake Forest Demon DeaconsSMU Mustangs
BetMGM -105 -115
BetRivers -117 -106
DraftKings -105 -115
ESPN BET -105 -115
Fanatics -105 -115
FanDuel -108 -113
Hard Rock Bet -115 -105
Novig +100 -106
Caesars -106 -112

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
SMU −1.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 3 books, 5 on another number
opened Wake Forest −2.5
Total
O/U 60.5
priced 51.1% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened 61.5
Spread by book Wake ForestSMU
BetMGM +1 -108 −1 -110
BetRivers −1 -113 +1 -109
DraftKings +1.5 -115 −1.5 -105
ESPN BET +1.5 -115 −1.5 -105
Fanatics +1 -110 −1 -110
FanDuel +1.5 -120 −1.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 -110 +1.5 -110
Caesars +1 -110 −1 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 60.5 -110 60.5 -108
BetRivers 61.5 -112 61.5 -110
DraftKings 60.5 -115 60.5 -105
ESPN BET 61.5 -110 61.5 -110
Fanatics 60.5 -115 60.5 -105
FanDuel 61.5 -110 61.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 61.5 -110 61.5 -110
Caesars 60.5 -115 60.5 -105
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