Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks
All Michigan Wolverines predictions · All Oregon Ducks predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:30 PM
The model's call
Oregon Ducks to win
Model confidence 78.4%
Books consensus 78.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Michigan Wolverines | Oregon Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +340 | -450 |
| BetRivers | +340 | -480 |
| DraftKings | +340 | -440 |
| ESPN BET | +360 | -500 |
| Fanatics | +340 | -450 |
| FanDuel | +360 | -465 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +350 | -475 |
| Novig | +376 | -388 |
| Caesars | +340 | -440 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Oregon −11
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened Oregon −10.5
Total
O/U 38.5
priced 49.0% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened 41.5
| Spread by book | Michigan | Oregon |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +11 -110 | −11 -110 |
| BetRivers | +11 -112 | −11 -112 |
| DraftKings | +10.5 -105 | −10.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | +11.5 -115 | −11.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +11 -110 | −11 -110 |
| FanDuel | +10.5 -105 | −10.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +10.5 -105 | −10.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +11 -109 | −11 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 38.5 -102 | 38.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 38.5 -107 | 38.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | 38.5 -105 | 38.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 38.5 -105 | 38.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 38 -110 | 38 -110 |
| FanDuel | 38.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 38.5 -107 | 38.5 -114 |
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