Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats

All Florida Gators predictions · All Kentucky Wildcats predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 6:15 PM

The model's call
Kentucky Wildcats to win
Model confidence 60.7%
Books consensus 60.7%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Florida GatorsKentucky Wildcats
BetMGM +140 -165
BetRivers +145 -182
DraftKings +145 -175
ESPN BET +145 -170
Fanatics +145 -175
FanDuel +132 -160
Hard Rock Bet +145 -180
Novig +150 -153
Caesars +142 -170

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Kentucky −3.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 8 books
Total
O/U 52.5
priced 50.0% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened 54.5
Spread by book FloridaKentucky
BetMGM +3.5 -112 −3.5 -105
BetRivers +3.5 -121 −3.5 -104
DraftKings +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
ESPN BET +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
Fanatics +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
FanDuel +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet +3.5 -120 −3.5 +100
Caesars +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 52.5 -110 52.5 -108
BetRivers 52.5 -113 52.5 -110
DraftKings 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
ESPN BET 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
Fanatics 53 -110 53 -110
FanDuel 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
Caesars 52.5 -108 52.5 -112
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