Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers
All Texas Longhorns predictions · All LSU Tigers predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:30 PM
The model's call
LSU Tigers to win
Model confidence 61.9%
Books consensus 61.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Texas Longhorns | LSU Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +150 | -185 |
| BetRivers | +145 | -182 |
| DraftKings | +154 | -185 |
| ESPN BET | +155 | -185 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +142 | -172 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +145 | -180 |
| Novig | +167 | -178 |
| Caesars | +152 | -182 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
LSU −4
priced 50.0% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened LSU −4.5
Total
O/U 46.5
priced 49.3% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
| Spread by book | Texas | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +4 -110 | −4 -110 |
| BetRivers | +4 -109 | −4 -114 |
| DraftKings | +4 -110 | −4 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +4.5 -110 | −4.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +4 -110 | −4 -110 |
| FanDuel | +4.5 -115 | −4.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +4.5 -110 | −4.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +4 -110 | −4 -109 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 46.5 -108 | 46.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 46.5 -108 | 46.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | 46.5 -105 | 46.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 46.5 -105 | 46.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 46 -110 | 46 -110 |
| FanDuel | 46.5 -105 | 46.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 46.5 -105 | 46.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -108 | 46.5 -112 |
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