Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys

All Texas Tech Red Raiders predictions · All Oklahoma State Cowboys predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 9:30 PM

The model's call
Oklahoma State Cowboys to win
Model confidence 60.2%
Books consensus 60.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Texas Tech Red RaidersOklahoma State Cowboys
BetMGM +140 -175
BetRivers +135 -175
DraftKings +142 -170
ESPN BET +145 -170
Fanatics +140 -170
FanDuel +134 -160
Hard Rock Bet +135 -170
Novig +147 -153
Caesars +140 -170

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Oklahoma State −3.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 8 books
opened Oklahoma State −2.5
Total
O/U 72.5
priced 51.1% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened 68.5
Spread by book Texas TechOklahoma State
BetMGM +3.5 -112 −3.5 -105
BetRivers +3.5 -114 −3.5 -109
DraftKings +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
ESPN BET +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
Fanatics +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
FanDuel +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
Caesars +3.5 -117 −3.5 -103
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 72.5 -115 72.5 -102
BetRivers 73.5 -107 73.5 -117
DraftKings 72.5 -115 72.5 -105
ESPN BET 72.5 -105 72.5 -115
Fanatics 73 -110 73 -110
FanDuel 72.5 -115 72.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet 73.5 -105 73.5 -115
Caesars 73 -108 73 -112
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