Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Oregon State Beavers at Boise State Broncos

All Oregon State Beavers predictions · All Boise State Broncos predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 6:00 PM

The model's call
Boise State Broncos to win
Model confidence 83.1%
Books consensus 83.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Oregon State BeaversBoise State Broncos
BetMGM +475 -625
BetRivers +460 -715
DraftKings +440 -600
ESPN BET +500 -800
Fanatics +440 -600
FanDuel +470 -650
Hard Rock Bet +450 -650
Novig +488 -525
Caesars +450 -625

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Boise State −14.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened Boise State −10.5
Total
O/U 65.5
priced 48.9% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened 64.5
Spread by book Oregon StateBoise State
BetMGM +14.5 -110 −14.5 -108
BetRivers +14.5 -110 −14.5 -113
DraftKings +15.5 -112 −15.5 -108
ESPN BET +14.5 -110 −14.5 -110
Fanatics +14.5 -115 −14.5 -105
FanDuel +14.5 -110 −14.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +14.5 -110 −14.5 -110
Caesars +14.5 -113 −14.5 -108
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 64.5 -112 64.5 -105
BetRivers 65.5 -108 65.5 -115
DraftKings 65.5 -102 65.5 -118
ESPN BET 65.5 -105 65.5 -115
Fanatics 65 -110 65 -110
FanDuel 65.5 +100 65.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet 65.5 -105 65.5 -115
Caesars 64.5 -115 64.5 -105
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record