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Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres

All Columbus Blue Jackets predictions · All Buffalo Sabres predictions

NHL · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 7:13 PM · Final: 2-5

The model's call
Buffalo Sabres to win
Model confidence 61.3%
Books consensus 61.3%
Result Buffalo Sabres won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Columbus Blue JacketsBuffalo Sabres
BetMGM +150 -180
BetRivers +148 -177
DraftKings +150 -180
ESPN BET +140 -165
Fanatics +150 -180
FanDuel +150 -182
Hard Rock Bet +135 -175
Novig +156 -163
Caesars +145 -175

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Sabres −1.5
priced 39.7% to cover · 8 books
Buffalo Sabres covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 6.5
priced 47.8% over · 8 books
Over 6.5 (7 scored)
Spread by book Blue JacketsSabres
BetMGM +1.5 -170 −1.5 +140
BetRivers +1.5 -177 −1.5 +140
DraftKings +1.5 -170 −1.5 +142
ESPN BET +1.5 -190 −1.5 +160
Fanatics +1.5 -170 −1.5 +140
FanDuel +1.5 -172 −1.5 +140
Hard Rock Bet +1.5 -185 −1.5 +140
Caesars +1.5 -165 −1.5 +135
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
BetRivers 6.5 -105 6.5 -120
DraftKings 6.5 -102 6.5 -118
ESPN BET 6.5 +105 6.5 -125
Fanatics 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
FanDuel 6.5 +100 6.5 -122
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
Caesars 6.5 -107 6.5 -113

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue Columbus Blue JacketsBuffalo Sabres
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 38.7% 61.3%
Best book price incl. vig 39.1% 62.0%
Kalshi contract price 38.5% 61.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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