Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Western Michigan Broncos at Akron Zips

All Western Michigan Broncos predictions · All Akron Zips predictions

College Football · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Final: 42-14

The model's call
Western Michigan Broncos to win
Model confidence 84.5%
Books consensus 84.5%
Result Western Michigan Broncos won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Western Michigan BroncosAkron Zips
BetMGM -700 +525
BetRivers -770 +480
DraftKings -750 +525
ESPN BET -900 +550
Fanatics -700 +500
FanDuel -780 +550
Hard Rock Bet -750 +475
Novig -641 +614
Caesars -750 +500

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Western Michigan −15.5
priced 49.6% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Western Michigan −13.5
Western Michigan Broncos covered −15.5
Total · closing
O/U 50.5
priced 50.4% over · 8 books
opened 47.5
Over 50.5 (56 scored)
Spread by book Western MichiganAkron
BetMGM −14.5 -110 +14.5 -108
BetRivers −15.5 -110 +15.5 -113
DraftKings −15.5 -108 +15.5 -112
ESPN BET −15.5 -105 +15.5 -115
Fanatics −15 -110 +15 -110
FanDuel −14.5 -110 +14.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −15.5 -110 +15.5 -110
Caesars −15.5 -106 +15.5 -114
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 50.5 -112 50.5 -105
BetRivers 50.5 -108 50.5 -115
DraftKings 50.5 -118 50.5 -102
ESPN BET 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
Fanatics 50.5 -115 50.5 -105
FanDuel 50.5 -115 50.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet 50.5 -105 50.5 -115
Caesars 50.5 -107 50.5 -113
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