Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks

All Ohio Bobcats predictions · All Miami (OH) RedHawks predictions

College Football · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 17-34

The model's call
Ohio Bobcats to win
Model confidence 51.7%
Books consensus 51.7%
Result Miami (OH) RedHawks won model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Ohio BobcatsMiami (OH) RedHawks
BetMGM -118 -102
BetRivers -121 -103
DraftKings -118 -102
ESPN BET -115 -105
Fanatics -120 +100
FanDuel -115 -104
Hard Rock Bet -120 +100
Novig -106 +104
Caesars -114 -105

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Ohio −1.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened Miami (OH) −1.5
Miami (OH) RedHawks covered +1.5
Total · closing
O/U 47.5
priced 49.2% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
Over 47.5 (51 scored)
Spread by book OhioMiami (OH)
BetMGM −1.5 -108 +1.5 -110
BetRivers −1.5 -109 +1.5 -114
DraftKings −1.5 -108 +1.5 -112
ESPN BET −1.5 -110 +1.5 -110
Fanatics −1 -110 +1 -110
FanDuel −1.5 -110 +1.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 -110 +1.5 -110
Caesars −1.5 -110 +1.5 -109
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 47.5 -105 47.5 -112
BetRivers 47.5 -108 47.5 -115
DraftKings 47.5 -105 47.5 -115
ESPN BET 47.5 -105 47.5 -115
Fanatics 47 -110 47 -110
FanDuel 47.5 -105 47.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet 47.5 -115 47.5 -105
Caesars 47.5 -108 47.5 -113
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