Sacramento State Hornets at Central Michigan Chippewas
All Sacramento State Hornets predictions · All Central Michigan Chippewas predictions
College Football · Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · 7:35 PM · Final: 7-28
The model's call
Central Michigan Chippewas to win
Model confidence 88.6%
Books consensus 88.6%
Result Central Michigan Chippewas won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Sacramento State Hornets | Central Michigan Chippewas |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +775 | -1100 |
| BetRivers | +575 | -1000 |
| DraftKings | +750 | -1200 |
| ESPN BET | +700 | -1200 |
| Fanatics | +700 | -1100 |
| FanDuel | +760 | -1200 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +575 | -900 |
| Novig | +770 | -809 |
| Caesars | +750 | -1250 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Central Michigan −17.5
priced 49.2% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened Central Michigan −15.5
Central Michigan Chippewas covered −17.5
Total · closing
O/U 43.5
priced 49.5% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
Under 43.5 (35 scored)
| Spread by book | Sacramento State | Central Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +17 -105 | −17 -112 |
| BetRivers | +17 -110 | −17 -113 |
| DraftKings | +17.5 -112 | −17.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +17.5 -115 | −17.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +17.5 -115 | −17.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +17.5 -110 | −17.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +17.5 -115 | −17.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +17.5 -110 | −17.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 43.5 -112 | 43.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 42.5 -112 | 42.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 43.5 -105 | 43.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 43.5 -105 | 43.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 43 -109 | 43 -110 |
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