Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans
All Minnesota Timberwolves predictions · All New Orleans Pelicans predictions
NBA · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 8:10 PM · Final: 115-109
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Minnesota Timberwolves | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -165 | +135 |
| BetRivers | -175 | +138 |
| DraftKings | -166 | +140 |
| ESPN BET | -165 | +140 |
| Fanatics | -165 | +135 |
| FanDuel | -172 | +144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -175 | +145 |
| Novig | -153 | +150 |
| Caesars | -170 | +143 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Timberwolves | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | −3.5 -114 | +3.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | −3.5 -115 | +3.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| Caesars | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 230.5 -118 | 230.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 230.5 -112 | 230.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 230.5 -108 | 230.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 230.5 -110 | 230.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 230.5 -110 | 230.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 230.5 -114 | 230.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 230.5 -115 | 230.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 230.5 -110 | 230.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Minnesota Timberwolves | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 60.2% | 39.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 60.5% | 40.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.